There is a great similarity between the fall of communism, which Brzezinski predicted, justifying that fall by communism’s alienation from freedom, Perhaps the fall of communism can be likened to the fall of political Islam, as both represent internationalist tendencies, in addition to both being related to dictatorship and their poverty in terms of personal freedoms, despite the manifestations of a religious awakening in the late twentieth century, where oil supported this awakening, i.e., supporting dictatorship, internationalism, and the denial of freedom and democracy.

The power of the Awakening, i.e. the Muslim Brotherhood movement, reached its peak around 2011 with the support of oil funding, The Brotherhood thought that they could have eternal control over countries whose populations mostly belong to the Muslim faith, especially after Morsi’s success in Egypt, There was also relative success in Tunisia after Ghannouchi’s party obtained 40% of the votes, In addition, Al-Bashir was the ruler in Sudan, and in Sudan, Sharia was implemented, albeit partially, Fundamentalism was aided by the Iranian Guardianship of the Islamic Jurist, which managed to control four Arab capitals and impose a religious lifestyle on the Iranians, Support also came from Erdogan’s Ottoman Turkey, from Saudi Arabia, then from Qatar and other countries, But the decline and fall soon began, for example in Egypt after about a year of Morsi’s rule, and Ghannouchi’s party quickly lost more than 20 parliamentary seats in the following elections,In Sudan, Al-Bashir was overthrown in 2018!

In Syria and Iraq, movements like ISIS and Al-Nusra emerged, and ISIS managed to control more than half of the combined territory of Syria and Iraq, Here, scenes of beheadings, amputations, burning people alive, stoning women, and everything that caliphs and sultans did throughout 1440 years were repeated, Dozens of terrorist acts were also carried out all over the world, All of this confirmed the concept of Dar al-Harb (the abode of war) and Dar al-Islam (the abode of Islam), and then the concept of takfir (excommunication) and disbelief in the religion of God, All of this was accompanied by attempts to disassociate oneself from these terrorist organizations, even attempting to absolve the religion from the actions of these groups, none of which succeeded and which turned into farces, They presented a living example of the literal application of Sharia and then imitating the ancients from the days of Ibn Abdullah until today, What was mentioned in the books of heritage and the book of religion of practices was a copy of the practices of ISIS and its likes and a literal application of what came in Sharia.

In Iran, economic, then political and military problems accumulated, and the percentage of those living below the poverty line in oil-rich Iran rose to more than 50%, Now, in the context of the recent war that is still ongoing, the percentage has reached more than 80%, which led to protests accompanied by the killing of tens of thousands of Iranian demonstrators by the bullets of the Revolutionary Guard! The situation in Lebanon, which was subject to the control of one of Iran’s arms, namely Hezbollah, developed in a negative way, as the poverty rate in Lebanon reached more than 70%, and in Syria it reached more than 95%, In Iran, Lebanon, and Islamized Syria, violence and killing prevailed, and consequently fear, especially of executions, whose number reached about 300 executions every month in the Iranian state of the jurist.

The rule of the Supreme Leader has become questionable and practically collapsed with the killing of Khamenei, The situation of the arms has changed, such as the Syrian arm,In Syria, there are daily assassinations, protests, and demonstrations. In addition, there are executions of another kind, After ISIS destroyed large parts of Palmyra and sold the antiquities it stole for more than a billion dollars a year, and slaughtered the eighty-year-old head of the Palmyra Museum with a knife, the followers of al-Julani, and it can be said that the Syrian Minister of Culture, executed dozens of statues in the National Museum, The very strange method of execution was cutting off the heads of those statues with a saw, These statues dated back to the Roman, Byzantine, Assyrian, and other eras and were thousands of years old, Human history does not know of a moral fall, meanness, and depravity of this kind, and there is no parallel to it except in Tora Bora, The direct motive for that horrific act was religion, and religion was what drove al-Qaeda in Afghanistan to destroy the Buddhist antiquities in Tora Bora. 

The Brotherhood of Sultan Erdogan has become a crisis after his star rose between 2000 and 2010 as a result of the economic policy carried out by his predecessor Ozal, Those successes evaporated and the price of the dollar rose to about 50 liras after its exchange rate in Erdogan’s early years was about 2.5 liras, It is certain that Erdogan will not succeed in the upcoming elections despite his childish populist actions such as occupying and stealing the Hagia Sophia Church, He occupies Hagia Sophia and wants to restore the Al-Aqsa Mosque.

Socially, the influence of religion has decreased in many regions such as Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the Gulf, This was observed in Egypt after the emergence of the Islamic Republic and after the abolition of the obligation to wear the hijab in Saudi Arabia, as well as in Iran. Conversely, the influence of religion has increased dramatically in Syria after the al julani  Liberation Front gained political, economic, and military dominance over the Syrians, which led to the consolidation of social and geographical fragmentation in the country, The attempt to Islamize Syria will lead to a backlash in the near future, The joy of Syrians at the fall of Assad does not mean that they are ready to accept the Islamization of laws, placing ministries and state institutions under the supervision of sheikhs, and depriving women of their rights, The aljulni regime situation will not last long, and its fall is inevitable in the near future.

The inevitability of the fall is due to the evaporation of the environment that nurtured the al julani, which relied on Sunni fanaticism and believed that the Sunni cover would last despite failure and hunger, The rejection of the al julani  is no longer limited to what are called minorities, but has turned into the rejection of the al julani by the religious majority,The Sunni majority wants some democracy, some social justice, and some freedom, The Sunni majority does not want the rule of God, nor does it want to move away from the concepts of human rights, The Sunni support for the aljulani started from the premise of rejecting Assadism, and what was important for them was the departure of Assadism, which happened, and thus the negative impact of Assadism on the support for the al julani almost ended, which convinced even the Sunni public that it was actually worse than Assadism by degrees!